Probability
Reasoning under uncertainty is a critical framework for rational decision making.
Elements
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1.3.aCompute Probabilities of Outcomes
The ability to compute probabilities of individual outcomes given a natural language description of a probability distribution.
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1.3.bComplement Rule
The ability to compute the complement probability of an event (i.e., the probability that it does not occur).
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1.3.cBayes' Rule
The ability to update probabilistic beliefs according to Bayes' Rule: Let $A$ and $B$ be events and $P(B) \neq 0$, then $P(A|B) = P(B|A)P(A)/P(B)$.